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Entertainment

Verity box office: 3 Smart Clues in an Exciting Race

Verity box office forecasts suggest a lead over Digger. See 3 clues behind the Oct. 2 opening and why projections are not final ticket sales.

Dakota Johnson at Karlovy Vary in 2025, illustrating the Verity box office preview
Photo: Jan Beránek / Wikimedia Commons (CC BY-SA 4.0)

The Verity box office outlook points to a competitive start for October, with the Colleen Hoover adaptation favored over Tom Cruise’s “Digger.” Forecasts published ahead of the Oct. 2 openings suggest different paths for the two films. These are projections, not reported weekend ticket sales.

3 clues in the Verity box office forecast

1. The worldwide estimate favors the thriller

Deadline’s Oct. 1 preview projects a $50 million to $55 million worldwide start for “Verity,” with room to exceed that range. Its estimate combines a domestic opening above $30 million with $20 million to $25 million from 70 international markets.

That initial international rollout excludes several markets, including Japan and South Korea. The forecast should not be read as a total for every country where the film may eventually play.

2. Domestic forecasts are not identical

Boxoffice Pro’s Sept. 30 preview gives the Verity box office opening a domestic range of $25 million to $35 million. The outlet lists “Digger” at $8 million to $12 million. Different projections reflect uncertainty before audiences buy their weekend tickets.

Michael Showalter directs “Verity,” which stars Dakota Johnson, Anne Hathaway and Josh Hartnett. Alejandro González Iñárritu directs “Digger,” with Cruise leading the satire.

3. A forecast cannot settle the outcome

Deadline reports Warner Bros.’ domestic expectation for “Digger” at $12 million to $15 million, while some observers expect less. Its international estimate is $15 million to $20 million, putting the worldwide high end at $35 million.

The Verity box office comparison is therefore an early view of audience demand. It does not establish either film’s profitability or a final ranking among Cruise’s releases. Those conclusions require actual grosses and clearer cost information.

What to watch after opening day

Both films begin their U.S. theatrical runs Oct. 2. Check the Verity box office figures again after weekend estimates arrive, then distinguish those estimates from subsequent actuals. For more context, read our story about Iñárritu’s original title for “Digger” and follow our movie coverage.

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