2025’s The Conjuring Last Rites US Box Office Weekend Pretty Decent

You’re scrolling through movie news, and then you see another horror sequel announcement. Your eyes roll so hard they practically fall out of your head. But The Conjuring Last Rites might actually be worth getting excited about, because the weekend box office numbers are worthy proof.

Promising Early Box Office Tracking for The Conjuring Last Rites

The early box office tracking for The Conjuring Last Rites’s September 5th opening weekend is looking pretty solid, with projections hovering in the $35-40 million range.  That’s not too shabby for a franchise that’s been haunting us since 2013. Sure, it’s not going to break any records (we’re looking at you, It: Chapter One with your ridiculous $123.4 million opening), but it’s respectable enough to make Warner Bros executives sleep a little easier at night.

What makes this even more interesting is that September typically isn’t known for massive blockbuster openings. We’re not dealing with summer tentpole season here, folks. This is the cinematic equivalent of the post-back-to-school relief because the parents are secretly relieved to have a few hours of peace. The fact that The Conjuring Last Rites US box office weekend projections are sitting pretty at $35+ million shows there’s still a serious appetite for quality horror.

These Numbers Matter More Than You Think

Here’s where things get genuinely fascinating (and a little frustrating, if we’re being honest). The previous Conjuring film, The Devil Made Me Do It, only managed a $24.1 million opening back in 2021. But before you start writing Warner Bros. ‘ obituary, remember that it was during the pandemic when they were implementing the HBO Max day-and-date release strategy, which was essentially a move that nobody had asked for. Talk about shooting yourself in the foot.

The Nun II performed slightly better, earning $32.6 million, but the movie had its own issues. Most notably, the 2023 strikes prevented the cast from promoting their film. The fact that Last Rites is getting a proper theatrical release without any of these complications means we might finally see what a Conjuring movie can do when it’s fighting with two free hands.

The Competition Landscape Looks Surprisingly Favorable

Michael Chaves is back in the director’s chair for The Conjuring Last Rites, and say what you want about his previous efforts (The Nun II, The Devil Made Me Do It, The Curse of La Llorona), but the man can craft a decent scare. More importantly, he’s working with Patrick Wilson and Vera Farmiga returning as Ed and Lorraine Warren, and let’s be real – these two have chemistry that could power a small city.

The tracking data is showing particularly strong interest from women under and over 25, plus men under 25. That’s the horror movie sweet spot right there. When your core demographic is already showing up in the tracking numbers, that’s usually a pretty good sign that opening weekend won’t be a complete disaster.

What Makes the Box Office Weekend Different?

The timing here is actually pretty clever. September has historically been Warner Bros’ horror playground, and they’ve dominated the post-Labor Day frame for years. It obliterated expectations in 2017, and The Nun proved that Conjuring universe movies could still draw serious crowds with that $53.8 million opening in 2018.

Here’s what’s got industry insiders paying attention: the early tracking numbers for Last Rites are already outpacing what Alien: Romulus and Insidious: Red Door were showing at similar points in their campaigns. That suggests there’s genuine anticipation building, not just the usual “oh great, another horror sequel” indifference.

The Stakes Couldn’t Be Higher

The $35-40 million projection for The Conjuring Last Rites’ US box office weekend might not sound earth-shattering compared to Marvel numbers, but consistent horror audiences are worth their weight in gold. These movies don’t need $200 million budgets, extensive CGI, and don’t depend on international markets to break even. It’s dependable and profitable horror comfort food we love. 

Final Battle: The Conjuring Last Rites (Final Thoughts)

This sequel is being marketed as the finale to the Ed and Lorraine Warren saga. That’s either going to be incredibly satisfying or monumentally disappointing, with very little middle ground. The pressure is on to stick the landing after years of building this supernatural universe.

Warner Bros is betting that audiences still have room in their hearts (and wallets) for one more trip into the Warren universe. Based on these early tracking numbers, that bet might just pay off. Whether Last Rites can capture the magic that made the original Conjuring so special remains to be seen, but at least the box office indicators suggest people are willing to find out.